A winter weather advisory has been issued for our area from 4am tomorrow morning until 1pm-4pm in the afternoon (depending on where you are in the county).

In the image above, courtesy of the National Weather Service, you’ll see about 1/3 of the county forecasted to get between .1-.25″ of ice accumulation.

In this image, courtesy of the National Weather Service, you’ll see that things are expected to get started between 5am-7am.

A few degrees could be the difference between a messy ice storm and a lot of cold rain. Chances are things won’t remain messy that long, but if some of these spots actually end up getting a quarter inch of ice, it’ll be bad.

If things continue until the early afternoon…a delay may not be enough.

For our first storm of the season, we welcome Fox 5’s Mike Thomas! He will offer his Pencil Prediction a little further down in this post.

Pencil Prediction by Fox 5’s Mike Thomas: 3 Pencils!

I will go 3 pencils! Maybe a slushy inch or two of snow/sleet but don’t think the roads will be awful, but at the same time I think the timing is an issue. Sleet & snow coming in just in time for the morning commute makes it a very tricky call for the schools. I could see on time, or delay, or even a close purely based on how the timing pans out. So for this first call of the season, I shall go 3 pencils!

Official MoCoSnow Pencil Prediction: 2.5 Pencils!

Even if this doesn’t end up being much, the decision will likely have to be made before it even starts. Playing it safe and calling for the delay would be a good idea because then the school system can see what actually falls and how messy things get before deciding whether they want to stick with the delay or move forward to a closure (remember, a school system can never go back– delay to full day of school, etc.).

Download the MoCoSnow app (iOS only) and get your limited edition MoCoSnow SNOW SZN shirt while you still can (less than three days left)!

Pencil Prediction (w/ Fox 5’s Mike Thomas) and Winter Weather Advisory

21 thoughts on “Pencil Prediction (w/ Fox 5’s Mike Thomas) and Winter Weather Advisory

  • 11/14/2018 at 8:28 pm
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    Is this the final prediction for tomorrow?

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    • 11/14/2018 at 8:29 pm
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      Yes unless it changes 😂

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  • 11/14/2018 at 9:42 pm
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    Is there a limit to the amount of delayed openings a school can have, like there are for full day closures?

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  • 11/14/2018 at 10:59 pm
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    Just curious, do you manually compile all the weather information or do you have a program that aggregates all the data?

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      • 11/14/2018 at 11:33 pm
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        Thanks for all the effort you put into this!

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  • 11/14/2018 at 11:14 pm
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    Prince George’s county prediction?

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    • 11/14/2018 at 11:15 pm
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      Surrounding county predictions are only available on the MoCoSnow app (iOS only for now).

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  • 11/15/2018 at 7:15 am
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    Do you think you will close Montgomery county schools.

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    • 11/15/2018 at 7:15 am
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      I don’t have the ability to close schools, but it was recently announced that the two hour delay would stand.

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  • 11/15/2018 at 1:09 pm
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    Well there be a two hour delay tomorrow if it ices over?

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    • 11/15/2018 at 1:10 pm
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      I’ll have a post out later this evening. Unsure of exact time

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  • 11/15/2018 at 2:00 pm
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    What is the prediction for tomorrow?

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    • 11/15/2018 at 2:00 pm
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      It’ll be out this evening, exact time unknown

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  • 11/15/2018 at 5:05 pm
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    What you wrote is exactly what happened. A delay of two hours and then deciding for closing schools when they see it was bad. I download app on ipad and it have 50/100% chance for closing schools

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    • 11/15/2018 at 6:01 pm
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      He didn’t say that it was going to close right after though.

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      • 11/15/2018 at 6:03 pm
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        No, I did not in this post, but the app did have a 50% chance of closure prior to the decision being made. Make sure you’re on top of the game by downloading the iOS app or have a friend download it if you can’t.

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  • 11/15/2018 at 6:24 pm
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    What about Friday? Any prediction?

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  • 11/15/2018 at 6:45 pm
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    I’m excited to keep checking the mcps app tonight every 5 minutes :D.

    Reply

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